Matt indicated that Ben Griffin should be a strong play at 45 to 1, citing Griffin’s clear comfort on Bermuda greens and a tendency to start quickly in events—expecting him to be three under through six holes on Thursday. Although Matt did not guarantee a win, he believes Griffin’s historical early-round success and consistent performance on Bermuda surfaces offer solid betting value at those odds.

Matt highlighted Chris Kirk’s past success on Bermuda courses and at this particular event, noting that Kirk has won here before and often excels on these greens even when not in his best form. Despite some recent struggles, Matt observed Kirk focusing on fairways and greens in practice, suggesting a return to comfort and potential upside for bettors who believe in Kirk’s track record on Bermuda.

Matt [Host Unknown] sees Jackson Suber as an intriguing high-volatility pick at 225 to 1, pointing to his strong college resume at Ole Miss, multiple wins in the South, and a T6 finish at the Sony. Suber’s comfort on Bermuda greens and his ability to produce elite single-round performances give him genuine upside, even though there’s risk of a missed cut. Matt views him as a worthwhile long shot in this event.

Matt [Host Unknown] praised Russell Henley’s ball-striking in recent appearances and observed him looking sharp in practice rounds. Henley’s history of success on Bermuda courses, including a past win here, bolsters confidence. Matt also noted Henley’s caddie was doing thorough solo prep, suggesting a focused approach. At 25 to 1, Henley appears to offer strong value given his comfort level and consistent form this season.

Matt [Host Unknown] advised caution on Sepp Straka, noting he failed the ‘eye test’ in practice and appears off his usual consistency. Recent results have been underwhelming, and Matt believes there is little to suggest a turnaround this week. He recommends holding off on backing Straka until he shows signs of a return to form.

Matt [Host Unknown] sees Jesper Svensson as a strong under-the-radar prospect this week. A self-described ‘flusher’ who drives it accurately, Svensson posted a T10 at the Sony, excelling on similar greens. Though he has been inconsistent of late, the return to a Bermuda layout should help his putting, giving him a realistic chance at a high finish.